Monday, August 22, 2016

National News: Trump Leads Clinton by 5+ Points in the Key Battleground State of Pennsylvania

Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump has surged to a 5-point lead over democratic rival Hillary Clinton in the key battleground state of Pennsylvania as per the poll conducted by CEPEX (Center for Excellence in Project Execution), on Friday (19th Aug 2016).
Trump leads Clinton 41.9 percent to 36.5 percent, with 21.5 percent voters undecided. Trump’s lead is just inside the margin of error and marks the first time that the Republican candidate is catching up in the traditional stronghold state of the democratic party.

The survey contacted around 1,000 registered voters. Results are estimated to be accurate within 7.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. According to CEPEX analysis, the error percentage is high due to the results obtained from just one day of polling. Subsequent polling would be required to reduce the error percentage.
While it is noteworthy that Trump is making headway in this battleground state, the undecided voters hold the key to the eventual outcome on Nov 8.
“With the undecided voters holding the key which way the state eventually goes in November, both the campaign teams should be tweaking their ground games to win over this key demographic” – Parth Mukherjee, Expert Principal, CEPEX Center for Excellence in Project Execution.
“One of the reasons of Trump’s surge is attributable to seemingly strong support from the women” – added Mukherjee.

1 comment:

  1. CEPEX is a Canadian consulting firm which works in the oil & gas industry and has no background whatsoever in polling. It's run by two guys who have no background in communications or media work. They've never done any sort of polling or surveys before, but apparently decided out of the blue to do this one. If Trump supporters are citing junk like this as proof that he's winning, it's a clear sign of desperation on their part.

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